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Red459
359190.0
4253220.3
244130.5
Blue222
368164.9
4984166.1
1378105.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4122920100200500600700459222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.30.2
219.9220.1
Auto30.8
Teleop153.5
End37.1
red by 54.3
166.10.6
165.0165.6
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
Second
359
#3
190.00.1
190.2190.1
Auto22.4
Teleop135.1
End31.9
red by 25.1
368
#8
164.90.3
164.4164.7
Auto20.9
Teleop121.5
End22.3
Third
244
#26
130.50.1
130.6130.5
Auto16.0
Teleop100.3
End11.8
red by 25.5
1378
#21
105.00.3
104.6104.9
Auto12.8
Teleop87.9
End2.5