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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Hawaii Regional
Red392
1661124.5
1622163.5
2477113.1
Blue341
288155.3
2437123.5
2896117.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312950100200400500600700392341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#4
163.50.1
163.0→163.1
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End26.8
red by 8.3
288
#11
155.30.3
154.6→155.0
Auto19.6
Teleop121.1
End16.4
Second
1661
#6
124.50.2
123.6→123.8
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
red by 1.0
2437
#9
123.50.1
123.4→123.5
Auto17.6
Teleop93.1
End12.4
Third
2477
#31
113.10.2
113.7→113.5
Auto15.2
Teleop87.0
End9.7
blue by 4.1
2896
#16
117.10.2
116.8→117.0
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End16.0