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Qual 182018 Hawaii Regional
Red332
4270121.3
1661124.5
2896117.1
Blue184
359190.0
3800105.7
21691.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246324100200300400500332184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#6
124.51.5
103.2→104.7
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
blue by 65.5
359
#3
190.00.3
181.8→182.0
Auto22.4
Teleop135.1
End31.9
Second
4270
#33
121.30.7
122.0→122.7
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6
red by 15.6
3800
#37
105.77.2
95.9→103.1
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End4.8
Third
2896
#16
117.19.3
98.4→107.7
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End16.0
red by 25.4
216
#34
91.81.3
108.1→106.8
Auto12.8
Teleop78.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed