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Red297
368164.9
2444126.2
2438114.1
Blue274
2445140.0
2477113.1
4984166.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313285150200250350400450297274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#8
164.913.1
101.1114.3
Auto20.9
Teleop121.5
End22.3
blue by 1.2
166.11.7
143.9145.6
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
Second
2444
#25
126.214.9
84.199.1
Auto19.3
Teleop98.2
End10.7
blue by 13.8
2445
#18
140.015.4
80.495.8
Auto18.2
Teleop108.9
End14.9
Third
2438
#36
114.114.3
90.3104.6
Auto15.6
Teleop91.1
End6.5
red by 1.0
2477
#31
113.117.5
61.178.6
Auto15.2
Teleop87.0
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed