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Qual 242018 Hawaii Regional
Red234
387894.1
2438114.1
4270121.3
Blue361
2443137.0
2444126.2
5701120.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244299100200400500234361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#33
121.31.0
122.7→123.7
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6
blue by 15.7
2443
#7
137.04.9
114.7→119.6
Auto24.2
Teleop103.0
End10.7
Second
2438
#36
114.10.8
119.5→120.4
Auto15.6
Teleop91.1
End6.5
blue by 12.1
2444
#25
126.23.0
114.9→117.9
Auto19.3
Teleop98.2
End10.7
Third
3878
#20
94.10.1
91.3→91.4
Auto13.1
Teleop67.9
End16.0
blue by 26.4
5701
#27
120.53.2
102.3→105.5
Auto14.4
Teleop96.2
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed