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Red272
1378105.0
6909130.4
3721127.6
Blue124
2853105.9
2896117.1
2438114.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2492960100200400500272124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6909
#10
130.41.0
104.3105.4
Auto15.4
Teleop102.1
End14.7
red by 13.3
2896
#16
117.11.8
116.9118.8
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End16.0
Second
3721
#29
127.62.0
118.3120.3
Auto17.1
Teleop101.8
End7.2
red by 13.6
2438
#36
114.10.9
119.8120.6
Auto15.6
Teleop91.1
End6.5
Third
1378
#21
105.00.0
98.598.5
Auto12.8
Teleop87.9
End2.5
blue by 0.9
2853
#30
105.91.6
119.0117.4
Auto17.1
Teleop81.8
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed