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Red279
3721127.6
368164.9
2853105.9
Blue429
1661124.5
4253220.3
3008145.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2374180100200300500279429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#8
164.92.9
151.1154.1
Auto20.9
Teleop121.5
End22.3
blue by 55.5
220.31.9
206.3208.2
Auto30.8
Teleop153.5
End37.1
Second
3721
#29
127.62.8
120.3123.1
Auto17.1
Teleop101.8
End7.2
blue by 18.0
3008
#14
145.61.2
141.2142.4
Auto17.2
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Third
2853
#30
105.94.0
117.4113.4
Auto17.1
Teleop81.8
End8.2
blue by 18.6
124.52.4
110.3112.6
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned