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Qual 42018 Hawaii Regional
Red329
1622163.5
6308103.0
288155.3
Blue95
1661124.5
2437123.5
387894.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346236010020030040050032995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#4
163.51.2
148.5→149.7
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End26.8
red by 39.0
1661
#6
124.51.4
102.6→104.0
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
Second
288
#11
155.30.2
142.2→142.0
Auto19.6
Teleop121.1
End16.4
red by 31.8
2437
#9
123.52.3
101.6→103.9
Auto17.6
Teleop93.1
End12.4
Third
6308
#28
103.018.0
57.0→75.0
Auto14.8
Teleop78.9
End10.5
red by 8.9
3878
#20
94.117.4
61.8→79.2
Auto13.1
Teleop67.9
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed