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Qual 502018 Hawaii Regional
Red292
288155.3
2477113.1
2465134.9
Blue345
6308103.0
4270121.3
6909130.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3532170100300400500292345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#11
155.31.8
145.6→147.4
Auto19.6
Teleop121.1
End16.4
red by 24.9
6909
#10
130.43.0
112.2→115.2
Auto15.4
Teleop102.1
End14.7
Second
2465
#12
134.92.0
131.2→133.3
Auto15.5
Teleop106.8
End11.0
red by 13.7
4270
#33
121.31.5
123.5→122.0
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6
Third
2477
#31
113.11.6
113.7→115.3
Auto15.2
Teleop87.0
End9.7
red by 10.1
6308
#28
103.00.9
98.4→99.4
Auto14.8
Teleop78.9
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed