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Qual 532018 Hawaii Regional
Red163
2443137.0
21691.8
3882160.5
Blue341
4984166.1
3008145.6
2437123.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329345100200300400500600163341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#5
160.51.9
164.5→166.3
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
blue by 5.5
4984
#2
166.10.7
154.3→155.0
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
Second
2443
#7
137.04.0
135.0→139.1
Auto24.2
Teleop103.0
End10.7
blue by 8.7
3008
#14
145.61.3
144.0→145.3
Auto17.2
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Third
216
#34
91.81.1
103.8→102.7
Auto12.8
Teleop78.1
End2.4
blue by 31.8
2437
#9
123.52.1
114.6→116.6
Auto17.6
Teleop93.1
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed