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Qual 552018 Hawaii Regional
Red225
3881126.3
244130.5
6308103.0
Blue476
288155.3
2441100.8
1661124.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281317100150200250350400450225476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#26
130.50.8
136.5→135.7
Auto16.0
Teleop100.3
End11.8
blue by 24.8
288
#11
155.31.5
147.4→148.9
Auto19.6
Teleop121.1
End16.4
Second
3881
#17
126.30.1
126.7→126.8
Auto18.2
Teleop96.8
End8.5
red by 1.8
1661
#6
124.52.6
115.2→117.8
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
Third
6308
#28
103.02.9
99.4→102.3
Auto14.8
Teleop78.9
End10.5
red by 2.2
2441
#32
100.81.7
104.3→102.6
Auto13.9
Teleop76.8
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed