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Qual 582018 Hawaii Regional
Red208
1661124.5
2438114.1
1378105.0
Blue305
3882160.5
3881126.3
2090132.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253340100200300400500600208305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#6
124.52.8
117.8→120.6
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
blue by 36.0
3882
#5
160.50.2
166.3→166.5
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
Second
2438
#36
114.10.4
113.2→112.8
Auto15.6
Teleop91.1
End6.5
blue by 18.9
2090
#13
132.91.4
125.0→126.4
Auto16.0
Teleop95.1
End23.3
Third
1378
#21
105.00.1
103.6→103.5
Auto12.8
Teleop87.9
End2.5
blue by 21.3
3881
#17
126.30.1
126.8→126.7
Auto18.2
Teleop96.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed