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Red263
387894.1
2896117.1
2445140.0
Blue246
5625121.6
3008145.6
2853105.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275294100200400500263246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2445
#18
140.00.4
138.7139.2
Auto18.2
Teleop108.9
End14.9
blue by 5.6
3008
#14
145.60.4
146.5146.1
Auto17.2
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Second
2896
#16
117.10.5
114.8115.3
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End16.0
blue by 4.5
5625
#24
121.63.3
114.2117.5
Auto16.1
Teleop90.1
End17.3
Third
3878
#20
94.11.1
88.789.8
Auto13.1
Teleop67.9
End16.0
blue by 11.8
2853
#30
105.90.2
107.5107.3
Auto17.1
Teleop81.8
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed