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Qual 712018 Hawaii Regional
Red126
2853105.9
4270121.3
2444126.2
Blue304
1622163.5
2896117.1
6309101.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2583270100200300400500600126304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2444
#25
126.20.2
127.4→127.6
Auto19.3
Teleop98.2
End10.7
blue by 37.3
1622
#4
163.50.6
161.9→162.5
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End26.8
Second
4270
#33
121.30.6
122.9→122.4
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6
red by 4.1
2896
#16
117.10.9
115.3→116.1
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End16.0
Third
2853
#30
105.90.5
107.3→106.8
Auto17.1
Teleop81.8
End8.2
red by 4.3
6309
#35
101.60.2
101.9→101.7
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed