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Qual 792018 Hawaii Regional
Red262
3800105.7
6704142.2
1661124.5
Blue355
6309101.6
2465134.9
6909130.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2592930100200400500600262355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6704
#22
142.21.0
140.3→141.4
Auto18.3
Teleop106.4
End18.1
red by 7.2
2465
#12
134.91.5
136.7→135.2
Auto15.5
Teleop106.8
End11.0
Second
1661
#6
124.50.2
123.4→123.6
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
blue by 5.9
6909
#10
130.42.4
126.3→128.7
Auto15.4
Teleop102.1
End14.7
Third
3800
#37
105.72.4
108.1→105.7
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End4.8
red by 4.1
6309
#35
101.60.1
101.7→101.6
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed