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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Hopper Division
Red460
1706192.7
3339196.5
2974175.9
Blue299
1902165.0
180185.3
6025163.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39534702006008001,000460299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#4
196.50.3
194.6→194.9
Auto25.0
Teleop142.1
End29.9
red by 11.3
180
#7
185.30.3
184.9→185.1
Auto21.7
Teleop145.7
End17.7
Second
1706
#8
192.70.6
189.5→190.0
Auto24.1
Teleop144.9
End24.3
red by 27.7
1902
#40
165.00.3
164.5→164.8
Auto29.1
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Third
2974
#48
175.90.1
176.0→175.9
Auto25.8
Teleop133.2
End16.9
red by 12.5
6025
#30
163.40.6
162.3→162.9
Auto14.4
Teleop125.8
End25.8