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Red300
5572196.1
3970145.2
6060120.2
Blue224
456177.5
1828106.6
3495143.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357291100200400500600700300224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.10.4
196.0195.6
Auto23.2
Teleop144.1
End29.5
red by 18.6
456
#16
177.51.8
168.0169.7
Auto20.0
Teleop132.7
End23.2
Second
3970
#35
145.20.2
147.3147.0
Auto19.6
Teleop115.5
End9.7
red by 1.4
3495
#26
143.71.2
139.1140.3
Auto17.9
Teleop105.4
End23.0
Third
6060
#57
120.20.6
117.9117.3
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End16.9
red by 13.6
1828
#49
106.60.3
97.998.2
Auto14.9
Teleop83.1
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed