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Red334
3075168.2
59172.4
973192.7
Blue419
4400148.9
6353127.2
5242148.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4302620100200300400500600334419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#9
192.71.1
190.4191.5
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End32.3
red by 43.8
4400
#32
148.90.8
147.7148.6
Auto16.5
Teleop111.3
End19.9
Second
59
#37
172.40.4
173.3173.0
Auto20.5
Teleop133.2
End18.2
red by 24.4
5242
#52
148.01.5
152.2150.7
Auto20.5
Teleop108.0
End14.1
Third
3075
#65
168.20.4
169.6169.2
Auto20.6
Teleop123.4
End21.3
red by 41.0
6353
#29
127.20.1
127.5127.6
Auto20.5
Teleop97.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed