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Red397
6919141.7
3223155.3
5839140.5
Blue315
6885119.6
6702132.2
2976167.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322327250300350400450397315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3223
#39
155.30.7
154.3155.0
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End16.7
blue by 12.4
2976
#18
167.71.2
165.5166.7
Auto20.2
Teleop133.8
End13.4
Second
6919
#36
141.70.9
140.7141.7
Auto23.3
Teleop104.2
End17.6
red by 9.5
6702
#28
132.20.5
131.6132.2
Auto17.0
Teleop98.3
End15.5
Third
5839
#56
140.51.3
141.8140.5
Auto18.6
Teleop105.5
End16.7
red by 20.9
6885
#25
119.61.9
117.8119.6
Auto18.2
Teleop86.4
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsMissed