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Qual 202018 Hopper Division
Red475
456177.5
399203.0
2976167.7
Blue282
3339196.5
6014126.9
59172.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3693270100200500600700475282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#2
203.00.4
190.5→190.9
Auto22.3
Teleop148.6
End29.3
red by 6.4
3339
#4
196.52.3
178.6→180.9
Auto25.0
Teleop142.1
End29.9
Second
456
#16
177.51.4
169.7→171.1
Auto20.0
Teleop132.7
End23.2
red by 5.1
59
#37
172.40.0
174.0→173.9
Auto20.5
Teleop133.2
End18.2
Third
2976
#18
167.70.2
157.5→157.7
Auto20.2
Teleop133.8
End13.4
red by 40.7
6014
#62
126.90.7
129.4→130.1
Auto17.1
Teleop96.7
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed