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Red210
3489153.4
3711164.5
7034143.9
Blue305
6672167.8
5839140.5
1261136.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3513140100200400500600700800210305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3711
#22
164.50.2
171.4171.2
Auto20.4
Teleop119.1
End25.3
blue by 3.3
6672
#19
167.81.7
159.1160.8
Auto20.4
Teleop122.3
End27.2
Second
3489
#31
153.40.1
153.2153.0
Auto18.5
Teleop112.2
End21.9
red by 12.9
5839
#56
140.50.3
138.4138.7
Auto18.6
Teleop105.5
End16.7
Third
7034
#38
143.90.8
146.0145.2
Auto20.7
Teleop101.8
End19.0
red by 7.4
1261
#21
136.50.4
131.4131.8
Auto18.2
Teleop102.2
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
44%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed