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Red412
1828106.6
7039160.1
2976167.7
Blue166
6050113.2
3489153.4
5801154.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293329100200400500600412166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#18
167.70.6
157.7158.3
Auto20.2
Teleop133.8
End13.4
red by 13.5
5801
#46
154.20.3
161.6161.9
Auto19.3
Teleop120.6
End15.1
Second
7039
#14
160.12.0
148.8150.8
Auto22.2
Teleop116.5
End21.2
red by 6.6
3489
#31
153.41.2
153.0151.9
Auto18.5
Teleop112.2
End21.9
Third
1828
#49
106.60.6
98.599.1
Auto14.9
Teleop83.1
End11.0
blue by 6.6
6050
#23
113.20.2
114.3114.6
Auto17.7
Teleop77.9
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed