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Red396
6907165.1
5242148.0
4775154.6
Blue202
7140151.1
7293123.0
5496155.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352322100200400500600396202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6907
#20
165.12.2
153.2155.4
Auto20.5
Teleop122.6
End24.8
red by 9.5
5496
#11
155.71.6
150.0151.6
Auto15.1
Teleop118.0
End22.9
Second
4775
#68
154.60.0
156.9157.0
Auto17.3
Teleop117.8
End18.1
red by 3.5
7140
#63
151.11.3
150.5151.9
Auto15.9
Teleop107.9
End27.0
Third
5242
#52
148.01.3
149.1150.3
Auto20.5
Teleop108.0
End14.1
red by 25.0
7293
#58
123.01.1
126.0127.1
Auto16.6
Teleop89.5
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed