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Red416
2096137.6
6702132.2
1156171.2
Blue304
59172.4
5414149.9
5291167.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2674030100200300500600416304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#12
171.21.3
165.2166.5
Auto21.2
Teleop131.9
End15.2
blue by 1.1
59
#37
172.40.5
173.7174.2
Auto20.5
Teleop133.2
End18.2
Second
2096
#59
137.60.2
133.3133.5
Auto19.3
Teleop102.9
End17.8
blue by 29.5
5291
#44
167.10.7
169.1169.9
Auto20.5
Teleop126.8
End19.8
Third
6702
#28
132.21.8
125.4127.2
Auto17.0
Teleop98.3
End15.5
blue by 17.7
5414
#41
149.90.8
149.0149.8
Auto22.1
Teleop118.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed