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Red210
6014126.9
957173.1
7173119.2
Blue431
6060120.2
4400148.9
3489153.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372990100200400500600700210431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#17
173.11.1
169.4170.5
Auto20.2
Teleop133.4
End23.1
red by 19.6
3489
#31
153.41.2
150.1148.9
Auto18.5
Teleop112.2
End21.9
Second
6014
#62
126.90.1
131.2131.4
Auto17.1
Teleop96.7
End8.4
blue by 21.9
4400
#32
148.90.5
143.5144.0
Auto16.5
Teleop111.3
End19.9
Third
7173
#43
119.21.2
112.9114.1
Auto16.9
Teleop85.1
End17.7
blue by 1.0
6060
#57
120.20.3
115.9116.2
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsEarned