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Red441
5839140.5
180185.3
148229.5
Blue271
1902165.0
3075168.2
3223155.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions440285100200400500600700800441271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
229.50.3
235.2234.9
Auto24.6
Teleop170.8
End31.9
red by 61.3
3075
#65
168.20.1
170.2170.1
Auto20.6
Teleop123.4
End21.3
Second
180
#7
185.32.2
173.1175.3
Auto21.7
Teleop145.7
End17.7
red by 20.2
1902
#40
165.01.3
159.9161.2
Auto29.1
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Third
5839
#56
140.50.9
139.8140.7
Auto18.6
Teleop105.5
End16.7
blue by 14.8
3223
#39
155.31.4
150.1151.5
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed