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Red273
3284146.6
2976167.7
5291167.1
Blue295
3506140.1
5572196.1
4400148.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332366150200250300400450500550273295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#18
167.71.3
161.6162.9
Auto20.2
Teleop133.8
End13.4
blue by 28.4
196.10.7
193.7194.5
Auto23.2
Teleop144.1
End29.5
Second
5291
#44
167.10.1
169.9170.0
Auto20.5
Teleop126.8
End19.8
red by 18.2
4400
#32
148.91.6
144.0145.6
Auto16.5
Teleop111.3
End19.9
Third
3284
#27
146.60.5
147.0147.4
Auto20.1
Teleop107.3
End17.0
red by 6.6
3506
#45
140.10.3
137.2137.4
Auto16.2
Teleop109.8
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed