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Red297
6885119.6
1828106.6
3075168.2
Blue397
2583119.2
1810136.1
2283147.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286335150200250400450500550297397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#65
168.20.6
170.1169.5
Auto20.6
Teleop123.4
End21.3
red by 20.9
2283
#47
147.31.2
141.7142.9
Auto17.1
Teleop115.1
End12.4
Second
6885
#25
119.61.8
110.0111.8
Auto18.2
Teleop86.4
End19.1
blue by 16.5
1810
#53
136.10.5
133.3133.8
Auto17.6
Teleop97.2
End23.2
Third
1828
#49
106.61.7
101.7103.4
Auto14.9
Teleop83.1
End11.0
blue by 12.6
2583
#24
119.21.2
115.2116.4
Auto16.6
Teleop89.7
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed