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Red253
6060120.2
1984144.2
1902165.0
Blue464
5496155.7
7039160.1
3339196.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280421100200500600700253464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#40
165.00.5
161.2161.7
Auto29.1
Teleop121.9
End14.2
blue by 31.5
196.51.8
185.1186.9
Auto25.0
Teleop142.1
End29.9
Second
1984
#66
144.20.7
149.0148.3
Auto21.4
Teleop103.5
End17.0
blue by 15.8
7039
#14
160.10.6
155.0155.6
Auto22.2
Teleop116.5
End21.2
Third
6060
#57
120.21.4
116.2117.6
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End16.9
blue by 35.4
5496
#11
155.70.1
151.5151.4
Auto15.1
Teleop118.0
End22.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned