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Red263
59172.4
5801154.2
2974175.9
Blue371
3711164.5
6025163.4
180185.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321370100200400500600263371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#48
175.91.0
173.4174.4
Auto25.8
Teleop133.2
End16.9
blue by 9.4
180
#7
185.31.9
175.3177.1
Auto21.7
Teleop145.7
End17.7
Second
59
#37
172.40.1
174.2174.1
Auto20.5
Teleop133.2
End18.2
red by 7.8
3711
#22
164.51.6
167.1165.5
Auto20.4
Teleop119.1
End25.3
Third
5801
#46
154.21.3
161.2159.8
Auto19.3
Teleop120.6
End15.1
blue by 9.2
6025
#30
163.41.8
151.8153.6
Auto14.4
Teleop125.8
End25.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed