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Red398
359206.0
7157113.6
399203.0
Blue308
6919141.7
1902165.0
7039160.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4133020200600800398308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#10
206.01.2
203.6204.8
Auto23.3
Teleop144.6
End34.8
red by 40.9
1902
#40
165.00.2
161.7161.9
Auto29.1
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Second
399
#2
203.01.1
197.7198.8
Auto22.3
Teleop148.6
End29.3
red by 42.9
7039
#14
160.11.2
155.6156.8
Auto22.2
Teleop116.5
End21.2
Third
7157
#51
113.60.7
115.3114.6
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End8.4
blue by 28.1
6919
#36
141.71.2
137.4138.6
Auto23.3
Teleop104.2
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
63%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed