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Red328
399203.0
1984144.2
3489153.4
Blue394
148229.5
3075168.2
294186.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292466100200400500600700800328394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#2
203.00.2
190.3190.5
Auto22.3
Teleop148.6
End29.3
blue by 26.5
148
#3
229.50.7
238.0237.4
Auto24.6
Teleop170.8
End31.9
Second
3489
#31
153.40.5
153.6153.2
Auto18.5
Teleop112.2
End21.9
blue by 32.9
294
#15
186.31.3
187.6188.8
Auto25.8
Teleop134.4
End26.8
Third
1984
#66
144.21.4
145.8147.2
Auto21.4
Teleop103.5
End17.0
blue by 24.0
3075
#65
168.20.9
169.4170.3
Auto20.6
Teleop123.4
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned60%Face the Boss oddsEarned