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Qual 712018 Hopper Division
Red291
6672167.8
3495143.7
3284146.6
Blue281
1984144.2
5242148.0
1156171.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340362200250300400450500550291281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#19
167.80.5
167.5→168.0
Auto20.4
Teleop122.3
End27.2
blue by 3.4
1156
#12
171.21.8
168.6→170.4
Auto21.2
Teleop131.9
End15.2
Second
3284
#27
146.60.1
147.4→147.6
Auto20.1
Teleop107.3
End17.0
blue by 1.4
5242
#52
148.01.8
156.0→154.1
Auto20.5
Teleop108.0
End14.1
Third
3495
#26
143.71.0
141.6→142.5
Auto17.9
Teleop105.4
End23.0
blue by 0.5
1984
#66
144.20.7
148.3→147.6
Auto21.4
Teleop103.5
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed