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Red459
957173.1
3711164.5
1706192.7
Blue224
1810136.1
2990175.1
5572196.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358359250300400450459224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.71.5
182.5184.0
Auto24.1
Teleop144.9
End24.3
blue by 3.4
196.10.5
194.5194.9
Auto23.2
Teleop144.1
End29.5
Second
957
#17
173.10.0
170.9170.9
Auto20.2
Teleop133.4
End23.1
blue by 2.0
2990
#13
175.10.4
174.2174.6
Auto28.4
Teleop137.5
End8.7
Third
3711
#22
164.51.0
165.5164.4
Auto20.4
Teleop119.1
End25.3
red by 28.4
1810
#53
136.10.9
133.8134.7
Auto17.6
Teleop97.2
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed