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Red156
6803168.0
6060120.2
3284146.6
Blue434
1706192.7
6705187.1
7034143.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267418100200500600700156434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#55
168.00.8
171.0170.1
Auto19.6
Teleop130.5
End13.2
blue by 24.7
192.71.8
184.0185.8
Auto24.1
Teleop144.9
End24.3
Second
3284
#27
146.60.1
147.6147.5
Auto20.1
Teleop107.3
End17.0
blue by 40.4
6705
#34
187.11.1
188.0186.8
Auto17.0
Teleop152.5
End19.0
Third
6060
#57
120.21.1
118.5119.6
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End16.9
blue by 23.7
7034
#38
143.90.4
142.7143.1
Auto20.7
Teleop101.8
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed