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Qual 92018 Hopper Division
Red413
3223155.3
973192.7
2992177.7
Blue309
3711164.5
2974175.9
6705187.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359349200250300400450500550413309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#9
192.70.1
186.6→186.6
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End32.3
red by 5.7
6705
#34
187.10.0
190.7→190.7
Auto17.0
Teleop152.5
End19.0
Second
2992
#5
177.70.9
166.0→166.9
Auto18.5
Teleop134.5
End25.7
red by 1.8
2974
#48
175.90.4
170.5→170.9
Auto25.8
Teleop133.2
End16.9
Third
3223
#39
155.31.3
144.1→145.4
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End16.7
blue by 9.3
3711
#22
164.50.1
171.6→171.4
Auto20.4
Teleop119.1
End25.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed