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Red468
2976167.7
148229.5
254255.2
Blue139
2990175.1
294186.3
5572196.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453312100200400500600700800468139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
255.20.3
256.0255.7
Auto28.7
Teleop175.7
End48.1
red by 59.1
196.10.2
195.9196.1
Auto23.2
Teleop144.1
End29.5
Second
148
#3
229.50.5
230.9230.4
Auto24.6
Teleop170.8
End31.9
red by 43.2
294
#15
186.30.0
186.3186.3
Auto25.8
Teleop134.4
End26.8
Third
2976
#18
167.70.1
167.5167.6
Auto20.2
Teleop133.8
End13.4
blue by 7.4
2990
#13
175.10.2
174.9175.1
Auto28.4
Teleop137.5
End8.7