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Red386
1156162.3
6424160.4
6025143.8
Blue323
525188.4
3928162.4
5914118.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356345250300400450500386323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#13
162.30.3
162.1162.3
Auto20.5
Teleop122.8
End18.4
blue by 26.1
525
#6
188.40.2
188.2188.4
Auto23.3
Teleop140.7
End25.1
Second
160.40.5
159.9160.4
Auto19.2
Teleop120.9
End22.5
blue by 2.0
162.40.4
162.0162.4
Auto22.2
Teleop121.4
End18.3
Third
6025
#17
143.80.6
143.2143.8
Auto15.3
Teleop108.5
End21.3
red by 25.3
5914
#46
118.50.4
118.1118.5
Auto16.1
Teleop87.7
End16.0