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Red234
1156162.3
4054110.7
167148.6
Blue291
6025143.8
5576157.5
6950111.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242830100200400500600234291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#13
162.30.5
155.7156.1
Auto20.5
Teleop122.8
End18.4
red by 4.8
5576
#10
157.51.6
151.9153.5
Auto21.3
Teleop105.7
End29.9
Second
167
#5
148.614.6
87.5102.1
Auto19.5
Teleop112.8
End18.1
red by 4.9
6025
#17
143.815.2
81.496.7
Auto15.3
Teleop108.5
End21.3
Third
4054
#32
110.716.7
68.184.8
Auto15.8
Teleop85.0
End10.5
blue by 0.3
6950
#40
111.033.3
111.077.7
Auto13.9
Teleop90.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed