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Qual 142018 Iowa Regional
Red279
525188.4
6467116.7
5914118.5
Blue64
167148.6
2549119.1
2957112.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347237010020030040050060027964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#6
188.40.4
179.9→180.2
Auto23.3
Teleop140.7
End25.1
red by 39.8
167
#5
148.69.2
102.1→111.2
Auto19.5
Teleop112.8
End18.1
Second
5914
#46
118.56.7
99.1→105.8
Auto16.1
Teleop87.7
End16.0
blue by 0.6
2549
#38
119.111.3
81.8→93.0
Auto15.3
Teleop90.3
End14.4
Third
6467
#14
116.711.5
82.1→93.7
Auto16.6
Teleop90.1
End9.7
red by 3.8
2957
#39
112.99.5
86.2→95.7
Auto13.7
Teleop88.2
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed