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Qual 242018 Iowa Regional
Red89
287486.9
6630139.9
3633140.4
Blue462
167148.6
5006154.1
5935121.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230327010040050060070089462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3633
#23
140.48.5
103.2→111.7
Auto15.3
Teleop110.5
End17.5
blue by 13.7
5006
#31
154.11.7
145.2→146.9
Auto19.1
Teleop109.1
End25.7
Second
6630
#34
139.99.8
114.5→124.3
Auto18.2
Teleop104.3
End15.5
blue by 8.7
167
#5
148.62.6
111.2→113.8
Auto19.5
Teleop112.8
End18.1
Third
2874
#15
86.91.7
88.1→86.5
Auto14.9
Teleop64.4
End8.4
blue by 34.8
5935
#30
121.89.4
87.1→96.5
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned