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Qual 262018 Iowa Regional
Red80
6371114.9
6391138.7
7141102.6
Blue478
3026108.5
4959156.4
4646147.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27832810020030040050080478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6391
#27
138.71.9
132.2→134.1
Auto17.0
Teleop106.3
End15.8
blue by 17.7
4959
#25
156.40.9
147.2→148.1
Auto23.4
Teleop119.2
End13.1
Second
6371
#55
114.96.8
96.2→103.0
Auto14.2
Teleop83.4
End19.7
blue by 32.6
4646
#12
147.62.0
131.3→133.3
Auto20.1
Teleop112.9
End14.5
Third
7141
#61
102.67.9
90.7→98.6
Auto13.5
Teleop79.5
End6.0
blue by 5.9
3026
#41
108.54.3
100.8→105.1
Auto17.1
Teleop85.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed