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Qual 342018 Iowa Regional
Red292
6359149.2
6950111.0
5935121.8
Blue297
6467116.7
967130.7
6424160.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303284150200250350400450500292297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6359
#20
149.22.2
137.8→140.0
Auto17.0
Teleop113.2
End19.7
blue by 11.2
6424
#4
160.41.7
140.2→142.0
Auto19.2
Teleop120.9
End22.5
Second
5935
#30
121.89.6
96.5→106.1
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End8.7
blue by 9.0
967
#21
130.70.1
123.3→123.4
Auto15.6
Teleop97.5
End19.4
Third
6950
#40
111.04.3
95.2→99.5
Auto13.9
Teleop90.8
End6.3
blue by 5.7
6467
#14
116.72.7
101.2→103.9
Auto16.6
Teleop90.1
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed