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Qual 362018 Iowa Regional
Red212
2530104.6
2987162.3
4329134.7
Blue311
6412124.8
6889111.6
7142122.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3612520100200300400500212311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#18
162.30.0
164.6→164.6
Auto18.3
Teleop120.1
End25.0
red by 37.5
6412
#57
124.84.8
99.3→104.1
Auto16.4
Teleop94.5
End15.7
Second
4329
#54
134.70.9
141.3→142.2
Auto13.8
Teleop106.9
End11.7
red by 12.4
7142
#26
122.49.0
102.0→111.0
Auto14.5
Teleop93.4
End17.2
Third
2530
#47
104.61.7
115.4→117.1
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End8.4
blue by 6.9
6889
#37
111.65.8
97.6→103.4
Auto14.8
Teleop81.6
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed