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Red252
1985115.1
6419113.0
4260116.7
Blue335
2957112.9
730988.2
6391138.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279251100200300400500252335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4260
#45
116.77.2
100.8108.0
Auto14.2
Teleop87.0
End19.0
blue by 21.9
6391
#27
138.70.5
134.1134.6
Auto17.0
Teleop106.3
End15.8
Second
1985
#50
115.10.6
120.4119.8
Auto12.5
Teleop91.1
End10.2
red by 2.2
2957
#39
112.93.6
98.6102.2
Auto13.7
Teleop88.2
End12.9
Third
6419
#43
113.02.0
102.3104.2
Auto14.3
Teleop86.8
End11.0
red by 24.8
7309
#44
88.21.8
87.689.5
Auto12.9
Teleop74.4
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed