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Qual 42018 Iowa Regional
Red330
6371114.9
6424160.4
2987162.3
Blue328
4500116.8
2526154.3
6391138.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337278100200400500600330328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#18
162.30.8
162.4→163.1
Auto18.3
Teleop120.1
End25.0
red by 8.0
2526
#16
154.31.5
132.5→133.9
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End22.2
Second
6424
#4
160.40.5
137.2→137.7
Auto19.2
Teleop120.9
End22.5
red by 21.7
6391
#27
138.71.5
128.7→130.2
Auto17.0
Teleop106.3
End15.8
Third
6371
#55
114.916.8
67.3→84.1
Auto14.2
Teleop83.4
End19.7
blue by 1.8
4500
#51
116.81.1
120.9→119.7
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed