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Red395
6164120.7
1094128.0
4818149.4
Blue124
6455108.5
637997.3
3026108.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112330100200400500395124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.40.6
134.6135.2
Auto19.7
Teleop111.9
End18.7
red by 40.8
6455
#59
108.53.8
102.8106.6
Auto12.4
Teleop85.9
End8.5
Second
1094
#19
128.00.6
119.2119.8
Auto20.4
Teleop94.5
End14.9
red by 19.5
3026
#41
108.52.3
110.2112.5
Auto17.1
Teleop85.8
End4.8
Third
6164
#29
120.75.4
99.2104.6
Auto14.7
Teleop91.8
End12.9
red by 23.4
6379
#48
97.32.9
94.297.2
Auto13.7
Teleop80.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed