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Qual 542018 Iowa Regional
Red319
6950111.0
167148.6
6419113.0
Blue194
6455108.5
6371114.9
6412124.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311242100150200350400450500319194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#5
148.64.7
125.1→129.8
Auto19.5
Teleop112.8
End18.1
red by 23.8
6412
#57
124.85.6
109.4→115.0
Auto16.4
Teleop94.5
End15.7
Second
6419
#43
113.02.2
104.0→106.2
Auto14.3
Teleop86.8
End11.0
blue by 1.9
6371
#55
114.91.8
106.9→108.7
Auto14.2
Teleop83.4
End19.7
Third
6950
#40
111.04.1
101.9→106.0
Auto13.9
Teleop90.8
End6.3
red by 2.5
6455
#59
108.50.3
107.4→107.2
Auto12.4
Teleop85.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed