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Qual 572018 Iowa Regional
Red278
3928162.4
2530104.6
6630139.9
Blue277
1982142.3
2549119.1
6391138.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315325200250300350400278277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#2
162.44.1
148.0→152.1
Auto22.2
Teleop121.4
End18.3
red by 20.1
1982
#8
142.32.0
136.1→138.1
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End13.2
Second
6630
#34
139.94.4
134.6→139.0
Auto18.2
Teleop104.3
End15.5
red by 1.3
6391
#27
138.71.7
135.6→137.4
Auto17.0
Teleop106.3
End15.8
Third
2530
#47
104.63.4
114.6→111.2
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End8.4
blue by 14.4
2549
#38
119.15.9
104.2→110.1
Auto15.3
Teleop90.3
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed