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Qual 632018 Iowa Regional
Red330
3633140.4
6455108.5
1985115.1
Blue292
4500116.8
4329134.7
5906113.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283289200250300350400330292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3633
#23
140.44.0
120.8→124.8
Auto15.3
Teleop110.5
End17.5
red by 5.7
4329
#54
134.71.9
139.4→137.6
Auto13.8
Teleop106.9
End11.7
Second
1985
#50
115.11.3
117.3→116.1
Auto12.5
Teleop91.1
End10.2
blue by 1.7
4500
#51
116.80.6
116.2→116.7
Auto16.2
Teleop90.7
End9.8
Third
6455
#59
108.50.5
107.2→106.6
Auto12.4
Teleop85.9
End8.5
blue by 5.4
5906
#58
113.93.9
107.3→111.2
Auto14.0
Teleop89.7
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed